A total of 32 studies (1,868 patients) assessing recurrence rates were reviewed. Four of these (17 patients) assessed genetic mapping of the organism after recurrence. Twenty-one studies (at least 2,543 patients) reported the success rate of the original treatment and recurrence rates. The numbers of studies and participants for the other specific objectives were unclear.
Recurrence rates.
Overall, the recurrence rates ranged from 0 to 40% at 6 months' post-treatment (14 studies), from 0 to 41.5% at 12 months' post-treatment (24 studies), from 4.3 to 21.4% at 18 months' post-treatment (4 studies), from 0 to 10.9% at 24 months' post-treatment (7 studies), and from 2.2 to 9.3% at 48 months (2 studies); the rates in single studies were 9.3% at 60 months and 8.6% at 84 months. These studies used a variety of methods of identifying recurrence. The recurrence rates appear to have been the highest in the first 12 months after treatment completion.
Nature of recurrence (same strain or new strain of organism).
Very few studies conducted genetic mapping before and after eradication. Four studies found that the majority of recurrences were with the identical organism. However, there were only 17 patients in these studies, and the one that studied the spouse or partner of the patient found that the couples had the same strain. This made it impossible to distinguish between recrudescence and reinfection in such cases.
Factors associated with recrudescence (same strain).
Techniques for monitoring: the urea breath testing methods may not be as useful for monitoring recurrence as they are for identifying untreated infection; biopsy-based testing in combination with urea breath testing may have more consistent results; PCR (polymerase chain reaction) testing is still controversial and has mixed results.
Sampling methods: sampling only in the gastric antrum may lead to inaccurate classification of eradication during or after treatment, whilst sampling in the corpus and the fundus is recommended. Increasing the number of samples taken to at least 4 did not decrease the recurrence rates significantly. Sampling from at least the antrum and fundus reduced the rates of recurrence at 12 months to 3.5% or below.
Efficacy (eradication rates) of original treatment.
Triple-drug therapy had the best eradication rates, ranging from 55 to 93% (p<0.001, compared with single and double therapy). Regression analysis showed that the recurrence rate was approximately 5% when the eradication rate was 90%. The eradication rate was highly related to the recurrence rate. Regimens with eradication rates of at least 90% had recurrence rates of 0 to 13%.
Factors associated with reinfection (new strain).
Some individuals have been found to be more susceptible to infection with H. pylori. Reinfection was uncommon in adults. Reinfection may occur more often in developing countries, among children living together, in families, and through contaminated endoscopy equipment.