Seven RCTs were included (n=350). The studies were judged to have moderately high quality (mean Jadad score 3.1 out of 5). One study was not blinded. Drop-out rates ranged from 0% to 69%.
Long-term antidepressant treatment was associated with a statistically significant and moderate reduction in the recurrence of depression compared to control (RR 0.73, 95% CI 0.55 to 0.97, p=0.03, NNT=11.1; 12 comparisons, seven studies) and a significant increased risk of mania (RR 1.72, 95% CI 1.23 to 2.41, p=0.002, NNH=7; nine comparisons, five studies).
The risk of new depression was significantly reduced for antidepressants compared with placebo (RR 0.46, 95% CI 0.27 to 0.80; three comparisons, n=50). There was no significant difference in new depression for: antidepressant with or without mood stabilisers versus mood stabilisers (eight comparisons, n=346); antidepressant with mood stabilisers versus mood stabilisers alone (five comparisons, n=246); and antidepressant versus mood stabilisers (three comparisons, n=118).
The risk of new mania was significantly increased for antidepressants with or without mood stabilisers compared with mood stabilisers (RR 1.80, 95% CI 1.22 to 2.65; eight comparisons, n=364) and antidepressants compared with mood stabilisers (RR 2.37, 95% CI 1.38 to 4.05; three comparisons, n=118). There was no significant difference in new mania for antidepressants versus placebo (three comparisons, n=50) or antidepressants plus mood stabilisers versus mood stabilisers alone (five comparisons, n=246).