The review included 8 RCTs with a passive follow-up, 3 non-randomised studies with a randomised weight maintenance period, 16 prospective observational studies and 19 non-randomised studies with observational follow-up.
Prospective, observational studies (16 studies).
The mean follow-up was 7 years (range: 2 to 21). Most of the studies were adjusted for age, smoking and baseline BMI.
Studies that collected baseline physical activity data found different results. Three studies found that increased physical activity was associated with a smaller weight change; 2 studies found that vigorous physical activity was associated with a larger weight gain; and 3 studies found no significant relationship between physical activity and weight change. Four of the 5 studies that collected physical activity data at follow-up found that increased exercise or physical activity was associated with a smaller weight gain; the fifth study did not find this association. Seven of the 11 studies that used baseline to follow-up data found that increased activity was associated with a smaller weight gain.
Non-randomised weight reduction studies with observational follow-up (19 studies).
Patients were contacted after weight loss in 7 studies, while 13 studies recruited patients before the weight reduction intervention. The average rate of study completion was 70% (range: 47 to 100). The duration of follow-up ranged from one to more than 7 years (usually one to 3 years). Only around 50% of the studies were adjusted for potential confounders. Twelve studies found that increased physical activity at follow-up was associated with a smaller weight gain after weight reduction. Only one study found no association.
Randomised weight reduction interventions with passive follow-up (8 RCTs). The review reported data from an intention-to-treat analysis. The duration of the weight reduction interventions ranged from 8 weeks to 12 months. All of the studies used aerobic exercise. One RCT found that exercise training during weight reduction was associated with less weight gain during follow-up than a non-exercise intervention.
Non-randomised weight reduction interventions with a randomised weight maintenance phase and a passive follow-up (3 studies).
The results were inconsistent. One study found no significant difference in weight regain between exercise and control; one study found that exercise increased weight regain; and one study found that moderate walking reduced weight regain compared with control, but that heavy walking did not reduce weight regain.
All RCTs.
The mean follow-up was 20 months. There was a trend towards less weight regain with exercise compared with control: the mean weight regain was 0.28 kg/month with exercise versus 0.33 kg/month without exercise. In RCTs of weight maintenance, there was a trend towards better weight maintenance with control than with exercise; the difference was 0.6 kg/month.