Twenty-three diagnostic accuracy studies met the inclusion criteria (n=2,036; 1,043 underwent ultrasound and biopsy, 1,172 ultrasound and ACR, and 409 ultrasound, biopsy and ACR). Five studies were diagnostic case-control studies (n=994).
One study met all methodological quality criteria, 12 studies fulfilled at least half the criteria, 3 studies met only 1 criterion, and one met none of the criteria. The criteria satisfied least often were adequacy of blinding during interpretation of imaging and histologic results, and adequacy of description of the technical aspects of biopsy.
Biopsy as the reference standard.
Halo sign (14 studies, 532 patients).
The pooled sensitivity was 69% (95% confidence interval, CI: 57, 79) and the pooled specificity 82% (95% CI: 75, 87). There was considerable heterogeneity in both the sensitivity and specificity (P<0.03). Post-test probabilities with a positive/negative ultrasound result were 30%/4% with a 10% pre-test prevalence, 79%/27% with a 50% pre-test prevalence and 97%/77% with a 90% pre-test prevalence.
Arterial narrowing (stenosis or occlusion (15 studies, 813 patients).
The pooled sensitivity was 68% (95% CI: 49, 82) and the pooled specificity 77% (95% CI: 65, 85). There was considerable heterogeneity in both the sensitivity and specificity, with trade-off between estimates of sensitivity and specificity (P<0.001). Post-test probabilities with a positive/negative ultrasound result were 25%/4% with a 10% pre-test prevalence, 75%/29% with a 50% pre-test prevalence and 96%/79% with a 90% pre-test prevalence.
Any vessel abnormality (halo, stenosis or occlusion (7 studies, 332 patients).
The pooled sensitivity was 88% (95% CI: 74, 95) and the pooled specificity 78% (95% CI: 71, 84). There was no statistical evidence of heterogeneity (P=0.20). Post-test probabilities with a positive/negative ultrasound result were 31%/2% with a 10% pre-test prevalence, 80%/13% with a 50% pre-test prevalence and 97%/58% with a 90% pre-test prevalence.
ACP criteria as the reference standard.
Halo sign (7 studies; 1,092 patients).
The pooled sensitivity was 55% (95% CI: 36, 73) and the pooled specificity 94% (95% CI: 82, 98). There was considerable heterogeneity in both the sensitivity and specificity (P<0.001). Post-test probabilities with a positive/negative ultrasound result were 50%/5% with a 10% pre-test prevalence, 90%/32% with a 50% pre-test prevalence and 99%/81% with a 90% pre-test prevalence.
Arterial narrowing (stenosis or occlusion) (4 studies, 933 patients).
The pooled sensitivity was 66% (95% CI: 32, 89) and the pooled specificity 95% (95% CI: 78, 99). There was considerable heterogeneity in both the sensitivity and specificity, with trade-off between estimates of sensitivity and specificity (P<0.001). Post-test probabilities with a positive/negative ultrasound result were 59%/4% with a 10% pre-test prevalence, 93%/26% with a 50% pre-test prevalence and 99%/76% with a 90% pre-test prevalence.
Any vessel abnormality (halo, stenosis or occlusion) (3 studies, 853 patients).
The pooled sensitivity was 87% (95% CI: 80, 91) and the pooled specificity 96% (95% CI: 89, 98). There was no statistical evidence of heterogeneity (P=0.48 for sensitivity and P=0.082 for specificity). Post-test probabilities with a positive/negative ultrasound result were 71%/2% with a 10% pre-test prevalence, 96%/12% with a 50% pre-test prevalence and 99%/55% with a 90% pre-test prevalence.
Diagnostic performance did not differ significantly with date of publication, sample size, or language. The halo sign appeared to perform better in studies of higher technical ultrasound quality and in those that fulfilled the quality criteria for cohort assembly.