Forty two studies met the inclusion criteria (n=5,039 patients). All studies scored 4 or 5 out of a possible 14 on QUADAS. Patient recruitment was described as consecutive in 38 studies, and prospective in four studies.
Sensitivity: Pooled estimates of sensitivity of endoscopic ultrasound to determine T stages of rectal cancer were: 88% (95% confidence interval (CI): 85.3 to 90.0; 39 studies) for T-stage 1; 81% (95% CI: 77.9 to 82.9; 41 studies) for T-stage 2; 96% (95% CI: 95.4 to 97.2; 41 studies) for T-stage 3; and 95% (95% CI: 92.4 to 97.5; 32 studies) for T-stage 4.
Specificity: Pooled estimates of specificity of endoscopic ultrasound to determine T stages of rectal cancer were: 98% (95% CI: 97.8 to 98.7; 39 studies) for T-stage 1; 96% (95% CI: 94.9 to 96.3; 41 studies) for T-stage 2; 91% (95% CI: 89.5 to 91.7; 41 studies) for T-stage 3; and 98% (95% CI: 97.8 to 98.7; 32 studies) for T-stage 4.
Results for positive/negative likelihood ratios and diagnostic odds ratio are also reported for each T stage. There was no statistically significant heterogeneity between studies for any analysis. The area under the summary receiver operating characteristic curve ranged from 0.96 to 0.98 for the four T-stages (standard error 0.01 for each T-stage). Pooled estimates of sensitivity, specificity, diagnostic odds ratio, positive/negative likelihood ratios were provided for each T-stage for three time periods. There was no evidence of publication bias.