A total of 30 studies were included (n= 4,890 patients), 15 using selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (n=2,984 patients) and 15 using tricyclic antidepressants (n=1,906 patients). No publication bias was reported according to the funnel plot. Although no statistically significant heterogeneity was found for the main meta-analysis, heterogeneity between included trials was noted in terms of diagnostic criteria, drop-out rates, power of the trial, drugs used and the outcome criteria reported.
Overall continuing anti-depressant therapy was shown to significantly reduce the risk of relapse (OR 0.30, 95% CI 0.25 to 0.35; 30 trials) compared to placebo. When trials were grouped and analysed according to type of medication, significant benefits were found for both selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (OR 0.24, 95% CI 0.20 to 0.29; 15 trials) and tricyclic antidepressants (OR 0.29, 95% CI 0.23 to 0.38; 15 trials). Relapse reducing effects did not significantly differ between selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors and tricyclic antidepressants based on meta-regression.
When relapse rates were compared as a function of time at follow-up, antidepressant use significantly reduced relapse rates compared with placebo at three, six, nine and 12 months. Meta-regression confirmed this result and found no significant additive relapse-reducing effect at six, nine or 12 months compared with the first three months.
Duration of continuation phase was explored using meta-regression, but there appeared to be no significant impact of pre-randomisation period on the relapse-reducing effect of antidepressants. Meta-analysis stratified on the basis of previous depressive episodes found that the pooled odds ratio for relapse in single episode patients (OR 0.12, 95% CI: 0.06 to 0.26) was considerably lower than the odds ratio for recurrent episode patients (OR 0.37, 95% CI 0.31 to 0.44); no significant heterogeneity was found.
Meta-regression found no significant differences in relapse rates between trials that reported gradual versus abrupt discontinuation of antidepressants. A significant interaction between number of previous episodes and mode of discontinuation was found, suggesting in recurrent episode patients abrupt discontinuation was associated with a poorer relapsing prevention effect than gradual discontinuation; the confidence intervals of these odds ratios were not overlapping (suggesting a significant difference). Confidence intervals largely overlapped for single episode patients (suggesting no significant differences).