Analytical approach:
A decision-tree Markov model was used to estimate the transition of patients between different parasite infection states and the effect of treatment on infection over a 55-year time horizon (treatment commenced at five years of age, with follow-up until 60 years). The authors reported that a societal perspective was adopted.
Effectiveness data:
Clinical and effectiveness data was from a systematic review conducted by the authors. PubMed, MEDLINE and EMBASE were searched for studies in English published after 1982. The search strategy was reported. Eligible studies were those in which both single and double praziquantel were given for Schistosoma mansoni or Schistosoma haematobium infection involving population-based or subpopulation-based drug treatment. Randomised controlled trials and observational studies were included in the review. As the proportion of total variation in pooled study estimates varied widely, meta-analytical methods were not used to calculate pooled estimates for cure rates. Instead, the range of observed outcomes was reported. The main estimate used in the model was cure rate (positive to negative conversion in parasite egg detection assays).
Monetary benefit and utility valuations:
The health states in the model were different levels of infection (uninfected, light, or heavy). Utility estimates for these states were from using the EQ-5D questionnaire, and were obtained from previously published studies on schistosomiasis-related disability.
Measure of benefit:
The measures of benefit were the number of infection years averted, egg years averted, and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained. Future QALYs were discounted at an annual rate of 3%.
Cost data:
The direct costs were treatment (number and price of pills needed at each age) and drug delivery. The cost of treatment was taken from a recent study with pricing for bulk purchased generic praziquantel. The cost of delivery was estimated from similar community health projects in African countries. All costs were reported in US $. As costs could be incurred over a long time period, future costs were discounted at an annual rate of 3%.
Analysis of uncertainty:
One-way sensitivity analyses were performed by varying all model parameters over their 95% confidence intervals or a plausible range of values. Results of the analysis were presented in a Tornado diagram.